Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.846476 0.965924 1.095969 1.248038 1.420974 1.611521 1.837413
2025-03-09 0.655576 0.817254 1.008981 1.253020 1.555377 1.917748 2.385240
2025-03-16 0.547758 0.726872 0.952485 1.257351 1.658557 2.168671 2.867031
2025-03-23 0.476076 0.664906 0.914785 1.269360 1.759538 2.413540 3.353286
2025-03-30 0.409287 0.597660 0.857864 1.243125 1.799006 2.572332 3.731179
2025-04-06 0.356448 0.541727 0.807699 1.216799 1.830129 2.715899 4.094033
2025-04-13 0.309383 0.487753 0.752998 1.175478 1.831475 2.811833 4.390407
2025-04-20 0.296160 0.482866 0.769630 1.241231 1.997392 3.163360 5.100679
2025-04-27 0.282694 0.475660 0.781145 1.298811 2.154142 3.512176 5.835814
2025-05-04 0.269142 0.466533 0.788081 1.348589 2.301316 3.856272 6.591432
2025-05-11 0.251267 0.448083 0.777546 1.367532 2.397785 4.123975 7.241266
2025-05-18 0.227687 0.417260 0.743015 1.341657 2.414454 4.257754 7.671604
2025-05-25 0.208467 0.392634 0.717510 1.330224 2.457094 4.442710 8.214183
2025-06-01 0.193738 0.374711 0.702180 1.335516 2.529971 4.686676 8.884530
2025-06-08 0.180476 0.358101 0.687483 1.340129 2.601131 4.932045 9.576884
2025-06-15 0.169603 0.344923 0.677796 1.352920 2.688076 5.212408 10.357706
2025-06-22 0.154880 0.322656 0.648628 1.324976 2.693275 5.337833 10.848305
2025-06-29 0.141656 0.302083 0.620825 1.296933 2.695200 5.455935 11.332647
2025-07-06 0.128076 0.279429 0.586776 1.252918 2.660488 5.497992 11.665189
2025-07-13 0.127045 0.283212 0.606930 1.322958 2.866876 6.040810 13.075806
2025-07-20 0.125069 0.284733 0.622414 1.384291 3.059836 6.570792 14.502982
2025-07-27 0.122344 0.284314 0.633670 1.437312 3.239135 7.085771 15.940043
2025-08-03 0.116981 0.277420 0.630235 1.457488 3.347828 7.458219 17.095012